The Bundesliga goes strong this weekend! The games will still be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic and there’s a very exciting contest between two traditional teams on Saturday: Bayer Leverkusen hosting Bayern Munich.

Bayer Leverkusen is fifth in the standings with 56 points in 29 games while Bayern Munich is in first place with 67 points in 29 games.

Bayer Leverkusen beat SC Freiburg 1-0 on the road last Friday while Bayern Munich crushed Fortuna Dusseldorf 5-0 at home on Saturday.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is in this matchup.

Betting Odds By Realbookies.com

Team to Win (Regular Time)

Bayer Leverkusen: +461

Bayern Munich: -222

Draw: +346

Spread

Bayer Leverkusen: +1, +1.5 (-113)

Bayern Munich: -1, -1.5 (-107)

Total

Over 3.5 (-114)

Under 3.5 (-106)

Key Points to Consider

Last Six Games in All Competitions

Bayer Leverkusen, coming off a 1-0 road win against SC Freiburg, have five wins, one loss and zero draws in their last six overall. Bayern Munich, coming off a 5-0 home win against Fortuna Dusseldorf, have six wins, zero losses and zero draws in their last six overall.

Momentum: Bayern Munich has been on an upward trend — winning eight straight games in the Bundesliga.

Head-to-Head: These two teams last met in Bundesliga action on November 30, 2019 and Bayer Leverkusen won 2-1.

Projected Leaders

Simulations I have run project Robert Lewandowski, Kai Havertz, Serge Gnabry, Leon Goretzka and Thomas Müller as the players most likely to score (four of them are from Bayern Munich).

Bayern Munich is the better team but Bayer Leverkusen is also playing well and while they can’t win the Bundesliga, they have a lot to play for here and it will be a hard-fought affair with a low goal tally.

Free Soccer Pick courtesy Gameadvisers.com: Under 3.5 (-106)